Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.153249 0.177311 0.203883 0.235400 0.271768 0.312419 0.361318
2025-11-02 0.112707 0.144207 0.182570 0.232724 0.296586 0.375226 0.479515
2025-11-09 0.088754 0.121790 0.164855 0.225097 0.307229 0.415394 0.568878
2025-11-16 0.076724 0.111472 0.159355 0.230135 0.332169 0.474098 0.686912
2025-11-23 0.066740 0.101894 0.152724 0.231544 0.350793 0.524715 0.798262
2025-11-30 0.059527 0.095002 0.148552 0.235219 0.372130 0.580442 0.922363
2025-12-07 0.051811 0.086114 0.139974 0.230625 0.379600 0.615212 1.017331
2025-12-14 0.045828 0.079092 0.133258 0.227796 0.388946 0.653104 1.120528
2025-12-21 0.041841 0.074796 0.130321 0.230573 0.407406 0.707129 1.255680
2025-12-28 0.039707 0.073370 0.131937 0.241110 0.439969 0.787793 1.444894
2026-01-04 0.037175 0.070888 0.131355 0.247542 0.465737 0.858946 1.624501
2026-01-11 0.034777 0.068337 0.130306 0.252875 0.489855 0.929244 1.809632
2026-01-18 0.032120 0.065041 0.127621 0.255031 0.508645 0.992432 1.989992
2026-01-25 0.029139 0.060760 0.122597 0.252098 0.517298 1.037406 2.140289
2026-02-01 0.025945 0.055651 0.115354 0.243839 0.514256 1.058957 2.245566
2026-02-08 0.024501 0.053999 0.114858 0.249295 0.539761 1.140022 2.481904
2026-02-15 0.022826 0.051648 0.112640 0.250820 0.557057 1.205788 2.692764
2026-02-22 0.021528 0.049963 0.111632 0.254801 0.579975 1.285504 2.942216
2026-03-01 0.019631 0.046704 0.106842 0.249826 0.582447 1.321174 3.097208
2026-03-08 0.018070 0.044041 0.103085 0.246762 0.588859 1.366051 3.277827
2026-03-15 0.017081 0.042616 0.101994 0.249769 0.609656 1.445439 3.547499
2026-03-22 0.016715 0.042659 0.104326 0.261180 0.651626 1.577916 3.958295
2026-03-29 0.016081 0.041964 0.104818 0.268144 0.683505 1.689671 4.330375